China will continue free-riding as long as possible, fixing a “broken window” here and there but not feeling responsible for any nation’s or region’s stability. Rule of thumb: If China calls for an “international solution,” it doesn’t give a damn about the situation, because when Beijing does give a damn, it’ll aggressively work the diplomacy on a bilateral basis — all the better to make its cash have maximum impact. An excellent example is Sudan, which, if it splits in two this year, may lapse back into civil war. America, with its new Africa Command, will feel itself on the hook and respond in some multilateral manner (with UN and African Union peacekeepers). But China? Bet on Beijing to play both sides against the middle: importing oil from both north and south and transferring arms as required.
—When China Ruled the World - Esquire